Drop Tables

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Notes

Stamp87.png Disclaimer
This section is still being written, it may be wildly inaccurate or missing significant data.
If you can help please feel free to edit it but please write edit summaries, preferably with sources.

All values on this page should be taken with a grain of salt.

All values on this page is from user testing in the Japanese community.

See Reward Chests for an explanation of how drop tables work and links to sources for your own research.

Raids

Omega Extreme

Last updated: 2017-02-08

Omega Extreme Drop table
Chest 1 Chest 2 Chest 3 Chest 4 Chest 5 Chest 6 Vice-MVP Red
2% 2% 70% 70% 100% 100% - -

Omega Impossible

Summon Extreme Tier 1

Last updated: 2017-02-08

Summon Extreme Tier 1 Drop table
Chest 1 Chest 2 Chest 3 Chest 4 Chest 5 Chest 6 Vice-MVP Red
? ? ? ? ? ? - -

Summon Extreme Tier 2

Last updated: 2017-02-08

Summon Extreme Tier 2 Drop table
Chest 1 Chest 2 Chest 3 Chest 4 Chest 5 Chest 6 Red
100% 100% 100% High High ~10% -

Huanglong Nightmare

Chest 1 Chest 2 Chest 3 Chest 4
Rare High 100% 100%
Chest 5 Chest 6 Icon Red Chest.png Host Icon Red Chest.png MVP
100% 100% --
Drop table last updated: 2018-01-10, all stated drop rates are estimates.
The game changes over time. If the drop tables become incorrect please notify the wiki staff.

Qilin Nightmare

Chest 1 Chest 2 Chest 3 Chest 4
Rare High 100% 100%
Chest 5 Chest 6 Icon Red Chest.png Host Icon Red Chest.png MVP
100% 100% --
Drop table last updated: 2018-01-10, all stated drop rates are estimates.
The game changes over time. If the drop tables become incorrect please notify the wiki staff.

Grand Order Nightmare

Chest 1 Chest 2 Chest 3
100% 100% 100%
Chest 4 Chest 5 Icon Blue Chest.png Blue
100% Common ? Blue chest drop rate is based on your honor relative to the total honor of all participants in the raid.
See Reward Chests for details.
Icon Red Chest.png Host Icon Red Chest.png MVP Icon Share Chest.png Share
Source SSumiwatari; host box updated during 5th anniversary
Drop table last updated: 2019-03-10, all stated drop rates are estimates.
The game changes over time. If the drop tables become incorrect please notify the wiki staff.

Proto Bahamut Nightmare

Chest 1 Chest 2 Chest 3 Chest 4
Likely ? 100% ?
Chest 5 Chest 6 Icon Red Chest.png Host Icon Red Chest.png MVP
Likely Likely --
Drop table last updated: 2019-05-08, all stated drop rates are estimates.
The game changes over time. If the drop tables become incorrect please notify the wiki staff.

Proto Bahamut Impossible

Stamp133.png Disclaimer: Leeching this raid is deeply disrespectful.
If you don't have time to contribute please don't join.
Chest 1 Chest 2 Chest 3
100% ? Likely
Chest 4 Chest 5 Icon Blue Chest.png Blue
Likely Common 9% 9% of total honor is required to guarantee a blue chest.
  • 89.088.97% ±1.24% chance to be selected when chest drops.
    Based on 1541 drops from 1732 chests.
    Confidence intervals are assuming an approximately normal distribution at 90% confidence.
     Primeval Horn square.jpg Primeval Horn
  •  7.27.22% ±1.02% chance to be selected when chest drops.
    Based on 125 drops from 1732 chests.
    Confidence intervals are assuming an approximately normal distribution at 90% confidence.
     Coronation Ring square.jpg Coronation Ring
  •  3.83.81% ±0.76% chance to be selected when chest drops.
    Based on 66 drops from 1732 chests.
    Confidence intervals are assuming an approximately normal distribution at 90% confidence.
     Lineage Ring square.jpg Lineage Ring
Icon Red Chest.png Host Icon Red Chest.png MVP Icon Share Chest.png Share
  • 30.930.86% ±2.34% chance to be selected when chest drops.
    Based on 325 drops from 1053 chests.
    Confidence intervals are assuming an approximately normal distribution at 90% confidence.
     Icon Gold Chest.png True Anima
  • 19.619.56% ±2.01% chance to be selected when chest drops.
    Based on 206 drops from 1053 chests.
    Confidence intervals are assuming an approximately normal distribution at 90% confidence.
     Champion Merit square.jpg Champion Merit
  • 10.110.07% ±1.53% chance to be selected when chest drops.
    Based on 106 drops from 1053 chests.
    Confidence intervals are assuming an approximately normal distribution at 90% confidence.
     Supreme Merit square.jpg Supreme Merit
  •  7.77.69% ±1.35% chance to be selected when chest drops.
    Based on 81 drops from 1053 chests.
    Confidence intervals are assuming an approximately normal distribution at 90% confidence.
     Soul Balm square.jpg Soul Balm
  • 29.329.34% ±2.31% chance to be selected when chest drops.
    Based on 309 drops from 1053 chests.
    Confidence intervals are assuming an approximately normal distribution at 90% confidence.
     Primeval Horn square.jpg Primeval Horn
  •  2.52.47% ±0.79% chance to be selected when chest drops.
    Based on 26 drops from 1053 chests.
    Confidence intervals are assuming an approximately normal distribution at 90% confidence.
     Gold Brick square.jpg Gold Brick
  • 43.743.69% ±2.90% chance to be selected when chest drops.
    Based on 346 drops from 792 chests.
    Confidence intervals are assuming an approximately normal distribution at 90% confidence.
     Icon Gold Chest.png True Anima
  • 27.527.53% ±2.61% chance to be selected when chest drops.
    Based on 218 drops from 792 chests.
    Confidence intervals are assuming an approximately normal distribution at 90% confidence.
     Champion Merit square.jpg Champion Merit
  • 11.711.74% ±1.88% chance to be selected when chest drops.
    Based on 93 drops from 792 chests.
    Confidence intervals are assuming an approximately normal distribution at 90% confidence.
     Supreme Merit square.jpg Supreme Merit
  •  7.77.70% ±1.56% chance to be selected when chest drops.
    Based on 61 drops from 792 chests.
    Confidence intervals are assuming an approximately normal distribution at 90% confidence.
     Soul Balm square.jpg Soul Balm
  •  9.08.96% ±1.67% chance to be selected when chest drops.
    Based on 71 drops from 792 chests.
    Confidence intervals are assuming an approximately normal distribution at 90% confidence.
     Horn of Bahamut square.jpg Horn of Bahamut
  •  0.40.38% ±0.36% chance to be selected when chest drops.
    Based on 3 drops from 792 chests.
    Confidence intervals are assuming an approximately normal distribution at 90% confidence.
     Gold Brick square.jpg Gold Brick
Based on @otokuro2 drop reports Source.
Drop table last updated: 2020-08-12, all stated drop rates are estimates.
The game changes over time. If the drop tables become incorrect please notify the wiki staff.